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Preview: Manchester City vs. Chelsea - prediction, team news, lineups

sportsmole.co.uk, 15 February 2024, 13:40
Three months on from their riveting 4-4 draw at Stamford Bridge, Manchester City and Chelsea renew acquaintances at the Etihad Stadium for a Premier League showdown on Saturday evening.

While the Citizens endeavour to chase down Liverpool at the summit, their West London counterparts are seeking to boost their hopes of securing a top-seven finish.

Match preview

Fixtures continue to come thick and fast for Man City as they continue their pursuit of another historic treble, but Pep Guardiola's men have had few problems establishing another one of their trademark winning runs during a crucial period in the second half of the campaign.

Indeed, the Citizens have won each of their last 11 matches across all tournaments, a run which began with success at the Club World Cup in mid-December and was most recently extended courtesy of a 3-1 away victory over Copenhagen in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie on Tuesday.

Goals from Kevin De Bruyne, Bernardo Silva and Phil Foden ensured that Man City would take a two-goal advantage into their second leg on home soil in three weeks' time; their focus now shift back to the Premier League title race as they attempt to close the two-point gap that separates them in second with leaders Liverpool, who could momentarily move five points clear if they beat Brentford in Saturday's lunchtime kickoff.

Man City are gearing up for three home fixtures in their next four and will welcome a return to the Etihad where they have not lost any of their last 22 Premier League games. They have also won six of their last eight top-flight home meetings with Saturday's opponents Chelsea, keeping a clean sheet in five of those victories in the process.

Clean sheets have been hard to come by for the Citizens this season, though, as Guardiola's side have conceded in 11 of their last 13 Premier League games, and they can ill-afford to show any defensive frailties this weekend against a Chelsea side who fired four goals past them in the reverse fixture and have since netted eight times in their last three games this month.

Chelsea's frustratingly inconsistent form has been the catalyst behind their mid-table mediocrity so far this season, and after suffering two four-goal defeats to Liverpool and Wolverhampton Wanderers, the pressure has since somewhat eased on head coach Mauricio Pochettino following two important 3-1 away wins over Aston Villa and Crystal Palace.

Five days after beating Villa in an FA Cup fourth-round replay with arguably their best performance of the season to date, the Blues were starring down the barrel of defeat against Palace on Monday as they trailed at half time after failing to register a single shot on target despite boasting 80% possession at Selhurst Park.

However, Chelsea came out a different side after the interval and their efforts were rewarded as ex-Eagles man Conor Gallagher bookended the second half with a brace, before Enzo Fernandez sealed the victory deep into stoppage time.

Having posted 10 wins, four draws and 10 defeats from 24 Premier League games, few can be surprised to see Chelsea languishing in 10th place, but securing European football for next season remains a possibility for the Blues as they are only two points behind Newcastle United in seventh, and seven points adrift of Manchester United in sixth - two teams Chelsea are still to play on home soil.

Pochettino and co must find consistency quickly if they wish to climb the table, but success on Saturday could prove challenging as they have failed to win any of their last seven meetings with Man City since securing a famous 1-0 triumph in the 2021 Champions League final; the Blues have also alarmingly conceded in 18 of their last 19 Premier League clashes with the Citizens.

Manchester City Premier League form:

W

W

W

W

W

W

Manchester City form (all competitions):

W

W

W

W

W

W

Chelsea Premier League form:

W

W

W

L

L

W

Chelsea form (all competitions):

W

D

L

L

W

W

Team News

Man City defender Josko Gvardiol is ruled out for two to three weeks with an ankle ligament injury, while Jack Grealish (muscle), Bernardo Silva (ankle), Mateo Kovacic (knee) and Sergio Gomez (unspecified) will all be assessed ahead of kickoff.

With Nathan Ake set to continue on the left side of defence in the absence of Gvardiol, Ruben Dias could be joined at centre-back by either John Stones or Manuel Akanji, who could also be tasked with drifting into midfield to partner Rodri.

Jeremy Doku and Foden are set to battle for a start on the left wing if Grealish is not deemed fit to feature, while Julian Alvarez will hope to return to the first XI after being rested in midweek, although he could face competition from De Bruyne and Bernardo, if fit, to play in behind Erling Haaland, who scored a brace at Stamford Bridge earlier this season.

As for Chelsea, they are sweating over the fitness of Thiago Silva who was forced off against Palace with a groin injury; Levi Colwill is in contention to return to the first XI to partner Axel Disasi at centre-back.

Benoit Badiashile is also nursing a groin problem and is facing a month on the sidelines, while Wesley Fofana, Robert Sanchez (both knee), Marc Cucurella (ankle), Reece James, Romeo Lavia and Lesley Ugochukwu (all hamstring) are also in the treatment room.

Pochettino has used former Man City man Cole Palmer as a false nine in recent weeks, but that decision is yet to be vindicated and the Argentine could instead move the youngster - who scored a last-minute penalty against the Citizens earlier this season - back over to the right flank, allowing either Nicolas Jackson or Christopher Nkunku to lead the line - the latter scored a hat-trick with former club RB Leipzig in his last visit to the Etihad.

Manchester City possible starting lineup:

Ederson; Walker, Dias, Ake; Stones, Rodri; Bernardo, De Bruyne, Alvarez, Foden; Haaland

Chelsea possible starting lineup:

Petrovic; Gusto, Disasi, Colwill, Chilwell; Fernandez, Caicedo; Palmer, Gallagher, Jackson; Nkunku

We say: Manchester City 3-1 Chelsea

The neutrals enter Saturday's contest hoping to witness an equally enthralling encounter to the eight-goal extravaganza that unfolded between Man City and Chelsea in November, and goals are to be expected once again, considering not only the attacking threat of both teams but their vulnerabilities at the back.

However, it is difficult to back against a rampant title-chasing Man City side who have turned the Etihad into a fortress and have a plethora of in-form forwards at their disposal who can fire the champions to a seventh straight Premier League victory.

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