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Preview: Southampton vs. Manchester City - prediction, team news, lineups

sportsmole.co.uk, 9 January 2023, 14:29
Southampton welcome Manchester City to St Mary's for their quarter-final clash in the EFL Cup on Wednesday night, with a place in the last four up for grabs.

The Saints have beaten three lower-league teams to reach this stage, while the Citizens have battled their way past Liverpool and Chelsea in the previous two rounds.

Match preview

Nathan Jones is yet to make waves in the Premier League since taking the reins at basement club Southampton in early November, with his new side losing all four league matches under his tutelage and conceding 10 goals in the process.

However, the Welsh boss has had more success in grinding out results in the cup competitions, as the Saints have come from behind to beat Lincoln City and Crystal Palace by 2-1 scorelines in the EFL Cup and FA Cup respectively, beating the latter away from home on Saturday.

James Ward-Prowse has developed a reputation for scoring spectacular free kicks, but even he will admit his equaliser at Selhurst Park was intended as a cross. Nevertheless, that strike helped the Saints grow into the game before Adam Armstrong robbed the dawdling Vicente Guaita and tapped what proved to be the winning goal into an empty net midway through the second half.

An FA Cup fourth-round tie against Championship outfit Blackpool awaits Southampton later this month, but they must first turn their focus back to the EFL Cup as they prepare for the daunting task of going toe-to-toe with Man City, a side they have beaten only once in their last 15 meetings.

Prior to their fourth-round win over Lincoln, Southampton comfortably bat Cambridge United 3-0 in the first round before scraping past Sheffield Wednesday on penalties following a 1-1 draw.

The Saints head into Wednesday's fixture having been eliminated from seven of their last eight EFL Cup quarter-final ties, although they were successful in their most recent last-eight contest, beating Arsenal 2-0 in 2017 before reaching the final where they lost out to Manchester United.

After ending 2022 in somewhat underwhelming fashion with a 1-1 draw at home to Everton, Man City kick-started the New Year with back-to-back victories over Chelsea in the space of four days.

A slender 1-0 away win in the Premier League last Thursday was shortly followed by a comprehensive 4-0 home triumph in the FA Cup third round on Sunday, with Pep Guardiola's side able to show their clinical side whilst goal machine Erling Braut Haaland watched on as a substitute.

Riyad Mahrez netted a brace while Julian Alvarez and Phil Foden were also on the scoresheet to help the Citizens cruise past the West Londoners into the fourth round, where they will face either Oxford United or Arsenal at the Etihad Stadium later this month.

While chasing down the Gunners at the Premier League summit remains Guardiola's primary target this season, further success in the EFL Cup will also be welcomed by City, who are bidding to lift the trophy for the seventh time in the last 10 years.

The Citizens have lost just two of their 29 EFL Cup fixtures under Guardiola, with both defeats suffered against rivals Man United. West Ham United are the only other team to have eliminated Guardiola's side in the competition, beating the Citizens on penalties in the fourth round last season.

City have won each of their last eight EFL Cup quarter-final ties, including a 3-1 home win against Southampton in October 2019, although this win is their only success against the Saints in four attempts in the competition.

Southampton EFL Cup form:

W

W

W

Southampton form (all competitions):

L

W

L

L

L

W

Manchester City EFL Cup form:

W

W

Manchester City form (all competitions):

W

W

W

D

W

W

Team News

Southampton are still unable to call upon centre-back Armel Bella-Kotchap due to a knee injury, with Jones confirming that the 20-year-old is set to be out for a matter of weeks rather than months.

Stuart Armstrong also missed the win over Palace having previously been 'playing through the pain' and the midfielder will not return in time for Wednesday's match, while Valentino Livramento, Juan Larios, Theo Walcott and Alex McCarthy are all doubtful with injuries.

Romeo Lavia was an unused substitute against Palace, with Jones opting to give the midfielder a rest having only just returned from injury, but the former Man City youngster could be handed a start on Wednesday, as could fellow Citizens academy graduates Gavin Bazunu and Sam Edozie.

Che Adams, who has scored five goals in his last three EFL Cup appearances, is expected to lead the line, while January addition Mislav Orsic could make his Saints debut in attack.

As for Man City, Ruben Dias remains sidelined with a hamstring injury that he sustained while representing Portugal at the 2022 World Cup.

Aymeric Laporte recovered from a minor back issue to play the full 90 minutes on Sunday and he will battle with John Stones, Manuel Akanji and Nathan Ake to keep his place in central defence, while back-up goalkeeper Stefan Ortega could continue between the sticks ahead of Ederson.

Jack Grealish missed the FA Cup win over Chelsea due to illness, but the playmaker is expected to be available on Wednesday and could be handed a start on the left flank at the expense of Phil Foden.

Haaland, Kevin De Bruyne, Ilkay Gundogan and Rico Lewis are among those who could return to the first XI after beginning on the bench last weekend, although Guardiola is sure to have one eye on Saturday's Manchester derby and he may give some of his star names further rest ahead of that fixture.

Southampton possible starting lineup:

Bazunu; Lyanco, Caleta-Car, Salisu; Walker-Peters, Ward-Prowse, Lavia, Perraud; Edozie, A. Armstrong; Adams

Manchester City possible starting lineup:

Ortega; Lewis, Stones, Akanji, Ake; De Bruyne, Phillips, Gundogan; Mahrez, Alvarez, Grealish

We say: Southampton 0-3 Manchester City

Man City will be regarded as strong favourites to progress to the EFL Cup semi-finals and they proved in last weekend's win over Chelsea that they can cope without the presence of a number of star names.

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