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Tuesday's La Liga predictions including Barcelona vs. Celta Vigo

sportsmole.co.uk, 10 May 2022, 05:00
Valencia vs. Real Betis (Tuesday, 6.00pm)

In a repeat of the recent Copa del Rey final, Valencia and Real Betis renew hostilities in Tuesday's La Liga battle at the Mestalla.

Manuel Pellegrini's side came out on top on penalties in the showpiece event with Los Che, who will be out for revenge in front of their own fans in midweek.

We say: Valencia 0-1 Real Betis

All of a sudden, Valencia boss Bordalas must work his way around a defensive crisis, and Real Betis ought to feel confident about rediscovering some goalscoring form against a depleted Che backline.

Valencia gave Betis a good run for their money in the Copa del Rey final, but Pellegrini's side were arguably unfortunate not to take any points off Barcelona and can scrape a vital win to extinguish the hosts' hopes of a swift revenge.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Betis win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Valencia has a probability of 33.2% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline is Valencia 1-1 Real Betis with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines are 0-1 (10.55%), 1-0 (9.4%), 1-2 (8.53%).

Granada vs. Athletic Bilbao (Tuesday, 7.00pm)

With their survival destiny now back in their own hands, Granada continue their quest for La Liga football next season against Athletic Bilbao on Tuesday evening.

Aitor Karanka's side stormed to a 6-2 victory over fellow relegation candidates Mallorca last time out, while the visitors played out a goalless stalemate with Valencia.

We say: Granada 0-2 Athletic Bilbao

Now coming up against a defensively sound Athletic Bilbao side having suffered fresh injury blows with three of their goalscorers at the weekend, Granada's strong start to life under Karanka could come to a grinding halt here.

The hosts have not had the winning formula in front of their own fans of late, and with Marcelino's men in rather strong form themselves, the European outsiders can take advantage of Granada's lengthy injury list to get back on track.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Granada has a probability of 29.86% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline is Granada 1-1 Athletic Bilbao with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines are 0-1 (10.72%), 1-2 (9.01%), 1-0 (8.47%).

Barcelona vs. Celta Vigo (Tuesday, 8.30pm)

With a top-four finish now guaranteed, Barcelona continue their La Liga campaign with the visit of Celta Vigo to Camp Nou on Tuesday evening.

The Blaugrana made sure of Champions League qualification by beating Real Betis 2-1 at the weekend, while the visitors cruised past Alaves 4-0.

We say: Barcelona 2-1 Celta Vigo

Always posing a threat going forward with Aspas leading the charge, Celta Vigo have been a bit of a bogey team for Barcelona in the past and will aim to take advantage of the Busquets-less Blaugrana midfield.

Xavi will not want to see his side let their energy levels drop despite sealing Champions League qualification, though, and the wealth of the hosts' attacking options leads us to back a narrow win for the Barcelona.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.58%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 13.06%.

The most likely scoreline is Barcelona 2-0 Celta Vigo with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines are 1-0 (11.51%), 2-1 (9.7%), 1-1 (9.21%).

> How Barcelona could line up against Celta Vigo

> Barcelona injury, suspension list vs. Celta Vigo

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