Preview: Toronto vs. New York City FC - prediction, team news, lineups

The Reds' seven-match unbeaten run ended last weekend when they lost 4-2 to the Philadelphia Union, while New York have points in four straight MLS affairs after defeating Dallas 3-1.

Match preview

Bob Bradley called his team's draw versus Atlanta United a step in the right direction, but last Saturday, they took a big step backwards.

Defensively this group looked as shaky as we have seen all year, as they struggled to handle the Philly press, while they also lacked intensity and were second to most balls, according to their coach.

Saturday will be the first of three matches for them in all competitions on home soil, where the Reds are unbeaten to this point of the season.

We have talked at length about their inability to close out a match when leading, however, they have struggled just as badly when facing a second-half deficit, without a point when trailing at the interval in five successive league fixtures dating back to August 2022.

While the last game may have been their poorest performance of the campaign, the Reds are still very much in the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff picture, just a point back of a wildcard spot after nine matches.

They come into this encounter unbeaten at home versus the Pigeons since 2020, winning the last home matchup against them, 2-1 in 2022.

Two weeks after drawing Atlanta United 1-1 in a match that manager Nick Cushing called a missed opportunity, these players have been a lot better at taking the chances presented to them.

The Boys in Blue wrapped up a three-game homestand in impressive fashion, with victories over Nashville SC (2-1) and Dallas, vaulting them up to fourth in the Eastern Conference, five points behind FC Cincinnati and the New England Revolution for first.

Only nine games into the season, it is difficult to tell if they have found a genuine number nine, but although replacing Valentin Castellanos will not be easy, at the moment, NYCFC are finding the back of the net by committee, with six different players scoring at least once and seven with at least one goal involvement.

Finding an early breakthrough has been vital to their success of late, with the Pigeons going in front at the interval in back-to-back contests, claiming at least a point in eight successive regular-season affairs when leading at the half, a streak which dates back to 2022, with seven of those contests being wins.

So far in 2023, however, New York have conceded first in three of its four regular-season away fixtures, claiming a mere three points in their last 15 road games (not including the playoffs) when going down 1-0, a run that dates back to 2021 after they came back to beat FC Cincinnati 2-1 in September of that year.

Saturday will be their first trip to Canada in 2023, with the Boys in Blue going winless in five successive regular season visits to the Great White North.

Toronto Major League Soccer form:

W

D

D

D

D

L

New York City FC Major League Soccer form:

W

L

D

D

W

W

Team News

Victor Vazquez, Adama Diomande and Michael Bradley missed the previous match for TFC with lower-body issues, and all three are questionable this weekend, Matt Hedges sat out of that encounter because of concussion protocol, while Cristian Gutierrez was missing due to an illness.

Earlier this week they added some veteran leadership to the attack, acquiring CJ Sapong from Nashville SC in exchange for Lukas MacNaughton and up to $200,000 (£160,354) in General Allocation Money (GAM), while they also traded for centre-back Aime Mabika, giving up as much as $200,000 (£160,354) in GAM to Inter Miami for his services.

Sean Johnson is unbeaten in four starts this season at BMO Field as he prepares to play his former club on Saturday, earning 206 caps previously with NYCFC, claiming the MLS Cup MVP award when they won it all in 2021.

Richie Laryea has goals in back-to-back contests for the Reds, his first two of the year, with Lorenzo Insigne notching his first of the season in the loss to the Union.

Cushing made one change to his starting 11 last weekend from the side that defeated Nashville, with Gabriel Pereira drawing into the lineup instead of Gabriel Segal, while the club also made a deal ahead of the transfer deadline sending Malte Amundsen to the Columbus Crew in exchange for $500,000 (£400,885) in GAM.

Santiago Rodriguez notched a brace in their triumph versus Dallas, with the other one coming courtesy of Talles Magno, while James Sands returned from his call-up with the US national team as he, Richard Ledezma and Keaton Parks began in the midfield for a second successive fixture.

An own-goal from Thiago Martins sent the Pigeons to defeat in this exact fixture last season, while Pereira, Parks, Rodriguez, along with their ex-strikers Thiago Andrade and Castellanos all found the back of the net the last time they faced TFC, coming back from 2-0 down, to win a wild one, 5-4 at Citi Field last April.

Toronto possible starting lineup:

Johnson; Laryea, O'Neill, Rosted, Petretta; Servania, Osorio, Kaye, Marshall-Rutty; Bernardeschi, Insigne

New York City FC possible starting lineup:

Barraza; Ilenic, Martins, Chanot, Cufre; Ledezma, Sands, Parks; Pereira, Segal, Magno

We say: Toronto 2-1 New York City FC

Sean Johnson has been an elite shot-stopper in this league for quite some time and has proven he can steal a game on his own.

Given the Reds significant injury concerns, we expect the ex-NYCFC keeper to take his game to a level we have come to expect this weekend, while getting his new team back in the win column.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.

For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.

Previews by email