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Preview: Derby County vs. Charlton Athletic - prediction, team news, lineups

sportsmole.co.uk, 16 February 2023, 20:19
Free-scoring Derby County play host to middling Charlton Athletic in League One looking to return to winning ways at Pride Park Stadium.

The Rams played out a frustrating 1-1 draw against 10-man Lincoln City on Tuesday, and Charlton defeated cellar-dwelling Forest Green Rovers 1-0.

Match preview

A season that had hitherto promised so much for Derby has suffered a mini blip of late, with the promotion-chasing side failing to win their last two games in League One.

After going on a six-game winning run in the competition, Paul Warne's men were beaten 3-2 by Wycombe Wanderers last Saturday before being unsuccessful in their push for a winning goal against Forest Green on Tuesday.

The fifth-placed side had a man advantage for the final 35 minutes of normal time following Ben House's sending-off in the 55th minute — as well as nine minutes of second-half stoppage time — but could only score an equaliser through Conor Hourihane, who cancelled out Olamide Shodipo's 43rd-minute strike.

While the stalemate has not put Derby's playoff place in immediate jeopardy — the East Midlands club will retain their top-six spot even if they are beaten this weekend — Warne's men go into Saturday's encounter seeking their first league victory in three games to avoid clinging on to their cherished position.

Barnsley occupy the final playoff spot but are one point adrift of the side from Derbyshire having played a game fewer, while Wycombe Wanderers in seventh place trail the promotion-chasing side by four points.

Nevertheless, the Rams' record at Pride Park gives reason for optimism. Only the league's top two sides — Plymouth Argyle and Sheffield Wednesday — have accrued more than Derby's 13 points from an available 15 in recent home games, possibly making the Warne's outfit favourites on Saturday.

That said, the fifth-placed team ought to be wary against a Charlton side that have claimed three away wins in succession.

The Addicks beat Portsmouth 3-1 on New Year's Day, got the better of Exeter City in a 2-1 triumph at the start of February and played out a 1-0 success over Forest Green last time out.

Dean Holden has improved the London club's record on their travels since taking over in late December, claiming three wins in four fixtures away from the Valley.

Corey Blackett-Taylor and Jesurun Rak-Sakyi's finishing has been vital in their ongoing run, with the wide attackers netting two each to contribute four of the six goals scored by the side from the capital.

Holden's men have claimed 15 points from seven games in 2023, a total bettered by four teams in League One. For context, two of the clubs — Bolton Wanderers and Shrewsbury Town — have played more games than the Addicks in the calendar year.

The reverse fixture was decided by a Blackett-Taylor strike as Charlton beat Derby 1-0 in August.

Derby County League One form:

W

W

W

W

L

D

Derby County form (all competitions):

W

W

L

W

L

D

Charlton Athletic League One form:

W

W

L

W

L

W

Charlton Athletic form (all competitions):

L

W

L

W

L

W

Team News

It remains to be seen just how many changes Warne makes to the XI, having cited fatigue in Tuesday's draw with Lincoln.

The Derby trainer has named an unchanged side in the Rams' last three league fixtures but should tweak his selection this weekend.

Louie Sibley had a strong showing off the bench and could replace Haydon Roberts at left-back, with the 21-year-old offering more creativity down that flank.

James Collins was withdrawn at the interlude last time out, but the striker is expected to keep his spot in the team with the Rams' top scorer David McGoldrick playing off the frontman.

Holden has leaned on a core cadre of players since taking the reins in December, and the Charlton boss is likely to keep alterations to the bare minimum at Pride Park.

Blackett-Taylor and Jesurun Rak-Sakyi have thrived on the road in 2023, so they are expected to keep their spots flanking the central striker.

Centre-back Ryan Inniss had a red card last Saturday in the 2-1 loss against Fleetwood Town overturned, making him available for the midweek win over Forest Green, and the defender ought to start at the heart of defence against Derby.

Derby County possible starting lineup:

Wildsmith; Smith, Forsyth, Cashin, Sibley; Hourihane, Knight; Mendez-Laing, McGoldrick, Dobbin; Collins

Charlton Athletic possible starting lineup:

Maynard-Brewer; Clare, Inniss, Ness, Sessegnon; Dobson, Kilkenny, Fraser; Rak-Sakyi, Blackett-Taylor, Bonne

We say: Derby County 3-1 Charlton Athletic

Derby have outscored all but two teams for home goals in League One, and they are backed to return to winning ways at Pride Park this weekend.

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