Burkina Faso
Chinese Taipei
Nigeria

League One supercomputer predicts champions, play-off quartet and who goes down

mirror.co.uk, 20 July 2022, 14:16
The new EFL season is just over a week away and we've crunched the numbers and assessed all 24 clubs' chances in the coming season to create a final table for the third tier

The supercomputer has spoken and has done the number-crunching ahead of the new League One campaign.

Reach's in-house boffins have run the rule over the 24 clubs in the third tier in 2022-23 and have monitored the necessary algorithms to give a predicted final table. And in a field of heavyweights, Wycombe Wanderers have been tipped to come out on top this term.

The Chairboys came within one game of promotion last season but lost out to Sunderland in the play-off final at Wembley in May. But according to our calculations, Gareth Ainsworth's men have a 47 per cent chance of winning the league and a 67 per cent chance of finishing in the top two automatic promotion spots.

Another side which lost out in the play-offs are tipped to finish just behind them next term.

MK Dons were beaten by Wycombe over two legs in the semi-finals but they have been given a 27 per cent chance of finishing in the top two, with a 12 per cent probability they'll win the division.

Those two names may be a surprise to many neutrals given the likes of big-hitting Ipswich, Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County also occupy the third tier.

Wednesday, who will look to bounce back after being edged out by eventual winners Sunderland in the play-off semi-finals last time, have been handed an 11 per cent chance for the title (26 per cent chance for top two). Oxford United have been listed as having a 10 per cent chance of finishing top of the pile (25 per cent chance for top two).

What do you make of the predictions? Let us know in the comments!

When it comes to the playoffs, MK Dons have been given a 42 per cent chance of making them. For Wednesday, it's 21 per cent, Oxford 41 per cent, Bolton 35 per cent, Peterborough 35 per cent, Charlton 27 per cent, Derby 25 per cent and Barnsley 20 per cent.

At the other end of the table, Joey Barton's Bristol Rovers are the favourites to be relegated. The Gas sealed a dramatic promotion on the final day of last season with a scarcely-believable 7-0 win over Scunthorpe seeing them pinch the final automatic spot.

But our number-crunchers calculate Barton's side have an almost 100 per cent chance of going straight back down - only a handful of its simulations had Rovers staying up. Fleetwood Town are likely to be joining them as they have an 85 per cent chance of being relegated. Shrewsbury have a 69 per cent chance of the drop, Port Vale 39 per cent and Forest Green are ranked at 25 per cent.

Predicted League One table for 2022-23

1. Wycombe

2. MK Dons

3. Sheffield Wed

4. Oxford United

5. Bolton

6. Peterborough U

7. Charlton

8. Derby

9. Barnsley

10. Plymouth

11. Exeter City

12. Accrington

13. Lincoln City

14. Cheltenham

15. Ipswich

16. Cambridge

17. Portsmouth

18. Morecambe

19. Burton Albion

20. Forest Green

21. Port Vale

22. Shrewsbury

23. Fleetwood Town

24. Bristol Rovers

Top News

20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Paris Saint-Germain forward Kylian Mbappe may reportedly not be involved in the Coupe de France final. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Manchester United have reportedly set an asking price for one of their more experienced players ahead of the summer transfer window. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Serbia's preliminary squad for Euro 2024 has been named by head coach Dragan Stojkovic, who has called upon an initial 35 players for the national team training camp before their flight to Germany. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk West Ham United are reportedly set to announce the appointment of David Moyes's successor as manager 'later this week'. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Brasileirao Serie A side Corinthians take on Serie D America de Natal in the second leg of the Copa do Brasil third round at the Neo Quimica Arena on Thursday morning. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Crystal Palace manager Oliver Glasner has issued a fresh update on the futures of in-demand trio Michael Olise, Eberechi Eze and Jean-Philippe Mateta ahead of the summer transfer window. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Manchester United and Bayern Munich are reportedly among a number of clubs interested in signing Red Bull Salzburg centre-back Oumar Solet. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Manchester City midfielder Rodri has claimed that Arsenal lacked the 'mentality' to win the Premier League title and has criticised the Gunners for not wanting to beat them at the Etihad Stadium earlier this season. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk ADO Den Haag and SBV Excelsior will be looking to boost their chances of playing Eredivisie football next season when they square off in the first leg of their playoff semi-final on Wednesday. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk The final chapter has closed on a captivating 2023-24 Premier League season, one which saw Manchester City earn another slice of English football history as the first team to win four Premier League titles on the spin. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk The final chapter has closed on a captivating 2023-24 Premier League season, one which saw Manchester City earn another slice of English football history as the first team to win four Premier League titles on the spin. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Aston Villa may reportedly be prepared to be creative in a bid to sign Chelsea midfielder Conor Gallagher. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Tottenham Hotspur have reportedly made the decision to part ways with Ryan Sessegnon on a free transfer. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Manchester United have reportedly decided on an asking price for winger Jadon Sancho ahead of the summer transfer window. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk England Under-17s manager Greg Lincoln has named his 21-man squad for the upcoming European Championships in Cyprus, with the inclusion of two highly-rated North London products. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk No coronavirus-enforced stoppages. No matches behind closed doors. No schedule-conflicting World Cup breaks over the Christmas period. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Botafogo can qualify for the last 16 of the Copa do Brasil for a third successive campaign with a win or draw in the second leg of their third-round tie against Vitoria on Wednesday at Estadio Manoel Barradas. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Two sides in early relegation danger in their respective domestic competitions will be seeking a place in the last 16 of the Copa do Brasil as Atletico Goianiense welcome Brusque to Estadio Antonio Accioly on Wednesday. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Needing at least a two-goal victory to have any hope of advancing beyond the third round of the Copa do Brasil, Sampaio Correa face a tall task when they head to the Maracana on Wednesday to battle Fluminense. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk The season is over and while the transfer window doesn't technically open until June 14, clubs across the UK and Europe are free to get deals in place ahead of next season. 20 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Salernitana vs. Hellas Verona (Monday, 5.30pm) Hellas Verona travel to rock-bottom Salernitana on Monday evening, hoping to secure their Serie A status for another season. 19 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk On Tuesday, England Under-17s will kick off the European Under-17 Championship with a tricky game against last year's runners-up France Under-17s. 19 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk The Manchester United squad are apparently facing the prospect of a mammoth pay cut due to their failure to qualify for the 2024-25 Champions League. 19 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk David Moyes believes he is leaving West Ham United having enjoyed a "successful" period as the club's manager and hopes they can reach new heights in the 2024-25 season. 19 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk On Tuesday, Spain Under-17s will face Iberian rivals Portugal Under-17s on matchday one of the European Under-17 Championship. 19 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta issued a short, sharp response when asked if the injury that kept Bukayo Saka out of Sunday's 2-1 win over Everton could harm his chances of playing for England at Euro 2024. 19 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola has paid an emotional tribute to Liverpool's departing boss Jurgen Klopp following his final match in charge of the Reds at Anfield on Sunday. 19 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk A Liverpool academy graduate scored a landmark Premier League goal in the Reds' 2-0 beating of Wolverhampton Wanderers at Anfield on the final day. 19 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Pep Guardiola is confident that Mikel Arteta's Arsenal side will continue to challenge his Manchester City team for the Premier League title for "many years". 19 May 2024 sportsmole.co.uk Pep Guardiola has admitted that he is "closer to leaving than staying" at Manchester City after leading the club to a record fourth consecutive Premier League title.